Monday, October 19, 2009

Seeing the Afghan Forest Not the Trees

William Pfaff wrote on September 17, 2001: "Clearly, the United States needs to deal with Mr. bin Laden's terrorist organization, but that is essentially a police and intelligence problem.
Long-term United States interests cannot afford a "war" that risks toppling Saudi Arabia and other conservative Islamic regimes into alliance with the radical movements already powerful in Iran, Sudan, Algeria, and influential in Egypt, Pakistan, the Balkans, the Caucasus, Central Asia, and sub-Saharan Africa. That, though, is the risk."

Now, Pakistan threatens to come unglued and the President is being advised to send in 40,000 troops.

What he needs to do is read this article below.
Realism about Al Qaeda
Paris, October 17, 2009
William Pfaff
If the president and Congress were to follow the implied
message of the Sageman presentation, the probability of Mr. Obama’s
serving eight, rather than four, more years in the White House would
greatly rise.
Marc Sageman is a forensic and clinical psychiatrist who has
served as a Naval flight surgeon, then as a CIA officer who between
1987 and 1991 was in Islamabad and New Delhi directing the U.S.
multilateral program with the Afghan Mujahedin.
He
concludes that “effective counter-terrorism strategy [is] on the
brink of completely eliminating al Qaeda.” There will be no
organization to return. This is the result of effective
international and domestic intelligence cooperation as well as good
police work. So why, one asks, is the U.S. expanding its war in
Afghanistan?
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